Sergey Shavkunov, Executive Director of J'son & Partners Consulting, noted that, based on the structure of optical fiber market revenues, the contribution of preforms to the cost of finished cable is up to 70%.
Artem Solovyov, Development Director of Kostromakabel LLC, stated: “We see that in the distribution networks of the same Rostelecom, cables of non-Russian manufacture are often used.”
added that the only luxembourg whatsapp resource driver of growth in the fiber-optic cable production market can be exports, but this requires government assistance.
According to Optic Fiber Systems, the annual demand for optical fiber by 2030 may increase by at least one and a half times with the activation of the policy of technological sovereignty in the communications industry; under the baseline scenario, by 2035, the consumption of optical fiber in the Russian Federation may increase to 13.5 million km compared to 5.3 million km in 2023; and under the optimistic forecast, the demand may reach 23.3 million km.
"When developing the Strategy for the Development of the Communications Industry until 2035, some participants in the discussion tried to slow down the development of wired broadband infrastructure by introducing a limit on the Internet access speed at 1 Gbit/s, obviously in order to guarantee the possibility of using old copper wires for many more years. This artificially limits the market. It makes sense to return to this topic and lobby for a unified technical policy for wired broadband systems with their total transfer to fiber optics and the introduction of transmission speeds of at least 10 Gbit/s. This would provide a powerful incentive for the development of fiber optic infrastructure. The Strategy resulting from lengthy discussions should be a concept for the accelerated development of telecommunications infrastructure, and not fix the country's backwardness for the next 10-15 years," said Vitaly Shub, a leading researcher at the Center for Applied Photonics at the Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology.
Technical Director of JSC Moskabel-Fujikura (MFK) Oleg Dlyutrov reported that since 1999, over 24 years of operation, the plant has manufactured more than 250 thousand km of optical cable, using 6.5 million km of optical fiber, but the service life of fiber optic cable is 25 years. "In Russia, there are about 10 thousand km of communication lines that are about 25 years old, and the question arises of what to do with them. Ideally, these lines should be replaced with new ones, but operators are in no hurry to do this. Simply operating the lines and waiting for them to fall apart means risking traffic loss and major repairs. Avalanche-like shutdowns may occur. Perhaps it is worth making decisions about partial replacement, continued operation, or complete relocation of the lines," he reasons.
As Vitaly Shub reminds us, the story about the cable becoming cloudy is not new.
"The telecom industry works on the principle of "what works, don't fix it". There is a business practice of operators, when a working optical cable, which is under commercial load, is inviolable. And talks about the need to re-lay trunk communication lines are in the category of science fiction. Cables will be used "until the optical fiber turns blue", because the telecom industry does not tolerate interruptions. Yes, the fiber becomes cloudy, ages. But since it is super clean, only nanocracks appear in it due to external damage and stress. These cracks cause a slight decrease in throughput," explained Vitaly Shub.
Commercial Director of JSC MKF Denis Sinelnik
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