Where job growth is expected
The Ministry of Economic Development predicts the largest increase in demand for personnel in manufacturing — by 500 thousand jobs (from 10 million in 2022), in healthcare — by 400 thousand (from 4.4 million), in transportation and storage — also by 400 thousand (from 5.8 million). In scientific activities, the need for employees will increase by 300 thousand (from 2.8 million), in the field of information technology and communications — by 200 thousand.
In September, Kotyakov voiced other estimates for a number of industries. For example, in manufacturing, the Ministry of Labor expects an increase in demand for personnel by almost 800 thousand jobs, in healthcare and social services - by 285 thousand, in scientific and research activities, as well as IT - by 430 thousand, respectively.
The prospective need of Russian enterprises for employees will be determined by the need to solve "tasks related to strengthening technological sovereignty and developing import substitution," the materials for the State Council meeting note. This primarily concerns industry.
"In the 5-7 year perspective, while maintaining technological limitations, it will be necessary to increase the number of people employed in the manufacturing industries with an emphasis on increasing the number of specialists in the areas of preparation of equipment and technology for land transport, materials technology, equipment and technology for shipbuilding and water transport, mechanical engineering, information technology, electronics, radio engineering and communication systems, aviation and rocket and space technology and their operation," the documents say.
One of the main drivers of belize whatsapp resource growth in demand for personnel in healthcare and social services will be the aging population. In the IT and communications sector, the need for workers will grow due to the need for import substitution due to the departure of foreign companies and ensuring "technological sovereignty", according to the materials.
In general, the demand for labor in Russia is growing, and a supply deficit is forming on the labor market, as stated in the materials for the State Council. This imbalance, coupled with the limited opportunities to attract additional labor, will limit the speed of economic transformation.
According to Rosstat, the unemployment rate in July was a record low of 3%. The number of unemployed people meeting the criteria of the International Labor Organization was 2.3 million people, and the number of registered unemployed people (i.e. those who applied to the employment service) was about 509 thousand people in the first half of 2023.
With the overall reduction in the number of registered unemployed, the proportion of people over 50 years of age increased (from 27.4 to 30.5%) and those who have been officially unemployed for one to eight months (from 68.7 to 70.1%). The increase in the proportion of long-term unemployed in conditions of high demand for labor is associated with the deterioration in the quality of the unemployed in terms of education and professional qualifications, the accompanying materials explain.
Thus, over the year, the share of unskilled workers increased from 18.2 to 20.1%. "The main disproportion between the composition of registered unemployed and the need for workers by professional groups is manifested in the fact that in terms of vacancies, the main demand is for skilled workers, and in the structure of the unemployed, the most massive group is unskilled workers," the document states.