Nothing can be taken away, everything is connected!
Posted: Thu Jan 23, 2025 4:35 am
The same thing applies to countries. If something happens in Ukraine, it affects the entire world, although we do not always realize it. The same applies to global oil transportation, food delivery. To notice how the elements of a system interact with each other, you need to look at how the entire system behaves. For example, to notice the unique properties of a flock of birds, you need to look not at the behavior of one bird, but the entire flock. The same thing applies to people who move to and from work, or post something on social networks. You need to look at everyone, not just one. Because there are many people who do the same thing. And there are many people who do different things. And many who do the same thing, then different. Mathematics as it is.
So, why did the emergence of the terrorist Islamic State and the refugee crisis from the Arab states happen? Probably, the Arab Spring had an impact. And why did it happen? The standard answer is the existence of dictators who, as they say, "brought to ruin" the country. But wait, they sat for 40 years! And now, in some countries, some, pardon me, sit and do not italy email list bother anyone. So, the analysis of complex systems says that hunger riots led to this. And to them - rising food prices in the world. And to it - rising prices for motor fuel in the USA. And to this - speculation in the commodity markets. And to them - the flow of mortgage money from the stock markets to the commodity markets. And to it - the collapse of the mortgage agencies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. And so on. Here you have a cascade of vulnerabilities, connected into one large chain of events. When considering complex problems, they cannot be divided into pieces, since each small part affects the other and the cause-and-effect relationship between the parts is critically important. It's true: clicking "here" often has consequences "there" because of interdependencies. Identifying such interdependencies is a branch of complex systems analysis.
It is unimportant whether to study social organizations or biological organisms in this context. But the scientists have interesting conclusions. And they are about us and our work. The main one: if you want to do something complex, or simply cope with the complex world around you, you yourself must be something complex, nonlinear. And the problem with most hierarchical organizations, where one person rules, is that the system cannot be more complex than the person who controls this system.
So, why did the emergence of the terrorist Islamic State and the refugee crisis from the Arab states happen? Probably, the Arab Spring had an impact. And why did it happen? The standard answer is the existence of dictators who, as they say, "brought to ruin" the country. But wait, they sat for 40 years! And now, in some countries, some, pardon me, sit and do not italy email list bother anyone. So, the analysis of complex systems says that hunger riots led to this. And to them - rising food prices in the world. And to it - rising prices for motor fuel in the USA. And to this - speculation in the commodity markets. And to them - the flow of mortgage money from the stock markets to the commodity markets. And to it - the collapse of the mortgage agencies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. And so on. Here you have a cascade of vulnerabilities, connected into one large chain of events. When considering complex problems, they cannot be divided into pieces, since each small part affects the other and the cause-and-effect relationship between the parts is critically important. It's true: clicking "here" often has consequences "there" because of interdependencies. Identifying such interdependencies is a branch of complex systems analysis.
It is unimportant whether to study social organizations or biological organisms in this context. But the scientists have interesting conclusions. And they are about us and our work. The main one: if you want to do something complex, or simply cope with the complex world around you, you yourself must be something complex, nonlinear. And the problem with most hierarchical organizations, where one person rules, is that the system cannot be more complex than the person who controls this system.